What are the odds of a my minor hockey superstar being drafted by the NHL?

What are the chances that top minor hockey players have a career playing professional hockey?
In: Fun.Sports Asked by: EricC Apr 29, 2008 - 89 Months Ago.  Viewed 8378 times



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There are 543,000 kids in Canadian minor hockey, and 377 Canadians playing in the NHL.   So you have a one in 1500 shot of making it big.   Just to compare, Harvard Law School accepts one in 12 applicants. And you'll get paid more.

It's one thing to be the winner of a race of 100 people. Yep, it's tough, but you can imagine being that good. But it's quite another being the outrunning 1500 people. That's rare.

Let's dig into the data.

There are only 60 Canadian kids drafted into the NHL each year in the top 4 rounds. Mostly from the 60 teams in the OHL, WHL, or QMJHL. These 60 kids have a reasonable chance of an NHL career. Below the 4th round, you may have a chance of an NHL appearance, not a career. The difference? Many have played a few games in the NHL, but never made the regular roster.

So many other superstars from the OHL, WHL, or QMJHL will never see a game in the NHL. Some end up playing their entire professional careers in Europe. Here's one of many examples:
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/pdisplay.php3?pid=26566

Those drafted but can't find a spot in the NHL may become superstars in the IHL or AHL. They'll get a salary of $30,000 to $60,000. Here's an example of an IHL superstar who played only 56 games in the NHL.
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/pdisplay.php3?pid=718

To summarize...

A wise coach told me from his experience, you can tell the one kid one the ice who might be a pro because they simply don't look like they fit in with the rest. So if you're banging and crashing and working hard, instead of skating circles around everyone else, you're not likely going to be an NHL regular.
Answered by: sherwin - 89 Months Ago.
2 Comments
if they are good then they can be drafted. claim for accident
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What are the odds of a my minor hockey superstar being drafted by the NHL? What are the chances that top minor hockey players have a career playing professional hockey? - HelpGlobe.Fun.Sports
 




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